CARI Captures 474: Singapore ready to begin first phase 3 antibody trial for COVID-19 patients



 

SINGAPORE

Singapore ready to begin first phase 3 antibody trial for COVID-19 patients
(8 October 2020) Singapore is ready to begin the first phase three monoclonal antibody trial for hospitalised COVID-19 patients. According to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID), it is ready to enrol its first patients as of 6 October and aims to enrol 100 patients. Singapore is only the third country to start recruiting patients as part of a global trial called Activ-3, which started in August 2020 and aims to recruit 1,000 patients globally. As of 8 October, the number of global patients recruited totalled 260, most of them from Denmark and the US. Activ-3 is estimated to be completed by the end of 2020 or in January 2021. The monoclonal antibody is a purified, highly active antibody that targets the spike protein of the coronavirus and the Activ-3 trial enrols COVID-19 patients who are sick enough to be hospitalised.

ASEAN

ASEAN region still attractive for European businesses but hurdles remain
(8 October 2020) More than half (53%) of European businesses in the region see ASEAN as the region with the best economic opportunity while almost three quarters (73%) of respondents say they plan to expand current levels of trade and investment in the region in the next five years. These were some of the key findings from the 2020 EU-ASEAN Business Sentiment Survey released on 8 October. Despite the positive findings, the optimism among European businesses declined from a year ago due to the COVID-19 pandemic and also the pace of ASEAN’s economic integration and customs procedure. Almost half of the respondents (49%) said they did not have the resources to deal with the pandemic while 92% reported a negative impact of their businesses in ASEAN due to the pandemic. On the matter of free trade agreement (FTA), 98% of the respondents would like the European Union to accelerate FTA negotiations with ASEAN and its members.

INDONESIA

Government passes omnibus bill on job creation despite opposition
(5 October 2020) The Indonesian government has passed the controversial omnibus bill on job creation into law on 5 October 2020, earlier than the initially planned date of 8 October, despite growing opposition due to the bill’s anticipated impact on labour rights and the environment. The law aims to improve bureaucratic efficiency, particularly with regards to business permits and investment. Coordinating economic minister Airlangga Hartarto said the law was necessary to increase employment and improve the business climate following the COVID-19 pandemic. While several house factions have approved the bill, two other factions, the Democratic Party and the Prosperous Justice Party have rejected the bill. Civil society organisations voiced their opposition and labour groups held protests on the same day in several locations in Jakarta. On 8 October, thousands of students and workers staged protests across Jakarta to voice their opposition towards the omnibus law on job creation.

INDONESIA

Government preparing US$5.1 billion in capital for sovereign wealth fund
(9 October 2020) The Indonesian government is preparing US$5.1 billion in capital for the country’s sovereign wealth fund called the Indonesia Investment Authority. The fund would raise its required funds from private investors instead of Indonesia’s reserve funds, and it is unclear where the funds would be invested (although the fund has been described as being earmarked for development and stabilisation). The fund will have a supervisory council led by finance minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati, with members including the state enterprise minister and three more professionals. The government would still be able to inject more money into the fund should its capital decline significantly. The establishment of the sovereign wealth fund is included in the job creation law passed recently.

THAILAND

Thailand to extend tax incentives to spur growth
(8 October 2020) Thailand will extend tax incentives to millions of its middle- and upper-income groups to drive consumption and mitigate the country’s worst economic slump caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The concession will allow about 3.7 million taxpayers to deduct US$962 (30,000 baht) each from their total taxable income and will cost the government US$353 million (11 billion baht), deputy prime minister Supattanapong Punmeechaow told reporters on 7 October. The proposal will be submitted for cabinet approval on 12 October, he said. Supattanapong added that the latest tax breaks and co-payment programmes can together deliver a US$6.4 billion (200 billion baht) boost to the Thai economy in the fourth quarter of 2020. According to a government statement, the tax relief will exclude spending on alcohol, cigarettes, lottery, hotel and airlines costs and will be valid between 23 October and 31 December 2020.

THE PHILIPPINES

Businesses allowed to reopen further despite high number of COVID-19 cases
(5 October 2020) The Philippine government has allowed malls and businesses to reopen further despite 90,000 new COVID-19 cases being recorded in September 2020. Essential shops in malls, money exchanges, and miners will be allowed to operate at full capacity, while restaurants will be allowed to operate round-the-clock. Malls can stay open until 11:00 PM, while salons and barbershops are allowed to operate at 75% capacity. According to socioeconomic planning secretary Karl Chua, the Philippines is expected to contract by as much as 6.6% in 2020, with the poverty rate expected to temporarily rise to 17.5%.

SINGAPORE

August unemployment rate rises above peak seen during global financial crisis
(7 September 2020) Singapore’s unemployment rate in August 2020 rose to 3.4%, higher than the 3.3% peak unemployment recorded in September 2009 during the global financial crisis. The rate in August, however, is still lower than the highest overall unemployment rate of 4.8% recorded in September 2003 during the SARS epidemic. The overall unemployment rate in August 2020 rose by 0.4% from July. Manpower minister Josephine Teo said that it is unknown if the unemployment numbers will rise further in the coming months, or stay at the same level. Deputy prime minister Heng Swee Keat stated that there are still growth sectors in Singapore and that COVID-19 will reshape the labour market in the long-term.

VIETNAM

Government to reduce its civil service workforce and freeze new hirings
(8 September 2020) The Vietnamese government will reduce its civil workforce by 4,000 workers and has frozen all new hirings as the country struggles to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. Prime minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc has approved the proposal to reduce the number of workers to 249,650 in 2021. This follows measures approved in 2017 for government offices to reduce their staff by 1.5% to 2.0% a year for the next five years. Central and local agencies were ordered to ensure only key employees were retained, while there would be no fresh hiring in the healthcare and education sectors. The civil service was cut from 265,100 in 2018 to 259,598 in 2019, and 253,000 in 2020.

MALAYSIA, SINGAPORE, VIETNAM, JAPAN

Japan to remove travel ban for 12 countries including three ASEAN countries
(8 October 2020) Japan is planning to remove a ban on overseas travel to 12 countries including Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam in November 2020, according to a Japanese news outlet. The other countries include Taiwan, Australia, China, New Zealand and South Korea. The Japanese government, which currently bans travel to 159 countries and regions, will recommend that travellers refrain from unnecessary and non-urgent visits to the 12 countries. Meanwhile, Japan plans to permit Japanese and foreign national business travellers with residency status to re-enter the country without having to isolate for two weeks, according to a regional media company. The two-week self-quarantine measure will be waived for returning business travellers who submit an action plan. The travellers will also have to refrain from using public transit. The final decision on the easier re-entry procedure is expected to be made sometime this month.

BRUNEI, MALAYSIA

Service charge to be imposed on individuals crossing the Sarawak-Brunei border
(8 October 2020) Starting on 1 October 2020, the Bruneian government has imposed a US$2.2 service charge on each individual every time they cross the Sarawak-Brunei land border post. Bruneian and foreign nationals who travel frequently at least 15 times a month for work and/or schooling purposes will be eligible to apply for a Frequent Commuters Pass (FCP), which can be applied for online through the portal of the Prime Minister’s Department of Brunei Darussalam. The FCP rate for employees for one month is US$36.8 per individual, while for students it is US$22.1 per individual. Exemptions for the service charge will be provided to vehicles owned by the Malaysian government or the Sarawak state government for official use, as well as to fire engines, ambulances and police, hearse vehicles; and children aged two years and under.

Mekong Monitor: Myanmar extends suspension period of jade mining operations due to COVID-19


Photo Credit: Reuters

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

MYANMAR

Myanmar extends suspension period of jade mining operations due to COVID-19
(6 October 2020) Myanmar has extended the suspension period of operations at jade mining sites until the end of November 2020 to contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to an official from Myanmar Gems Enterprise quoted by Xinhua on 6 October. The Myanmar Gems Enterprises initially directed the suspension of operations at the mining sites for three months starting from July 2020. The suspension is currently enforced at the Lone Khin-Hpakant mining area in Kachin state, and Kanin mining area and Maw Luu-Maw Han mining area in Sagaing region. Jade mining operations are usually suspended during the monsoon season as heavy rainfalls frequently cause landslides that lead to casualties. Many locals make their living by jade scavenging in the region and most of the landslides are caused by the partial collapse of tailings heaps and dams.
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MYANMAR, INDIA

India proposes US$6 billion oil refinery project in Myanmar
(6 October 2020) India has proposed to build a US$6 billion petroleum refinery project near Yangon. This was one of the key takeaways from the two-day joint visit by Indian Army chief Manoj Mukund Naravane and foreign secretary Harsh Vardhan Shringla to Myanmar from 4 to 5 October 2020. A source close to the matter said the project would be a win-win arrangement for both countries and that Indian Oil Corp has shown interest in the project. Other highlights of the visit included the presentation of 3,000 vials of Remdesivir, considered as a viable option to treat COVID-19 patients, to state counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi. India has also promised to import 150,000 tonnes of urad, a type of lentil, from Myanmar till 31 March 2021 and the provision of a US$2 million grant for the construction of a border village bridge at Byanyu/Sarsichauk in Chin state to facilitate increased economic connectivity between Mizoram and Myanmar.
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THAILAND

Arkhom appointed as new finance minister
(5 October 2020) Arkhom Termpittayapaisith has been appointed as the new finance minister, ending the month-long vacancy left by the sudden resignation of his predecessor Predee Daochai. The Royal Gazette announced his appointment on 5 October 2020, with immediate effect. He was formerly the secretary-general of National and Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC) and also the former transport minister for the post-coup junta. As a deputy minister and minister of transport, Arkhom was part of the economic team led by former deputy prime minister Somkid Jatusripitak, although he had no links to Somkid and was known as a trusted man of Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha.
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LAOS

Laos forestry investment offered US$5 million funding by Dutch bank FMO
(7 October 2020) One of Laos’ largest forestry plantation companies, Mekong Timber Plantations (MTP), has been offered US$5million in funding by Dutch development bank FMO, according to a disclosure by the bank dated 30 September 2020. The financing is expected to be used by MTP to expand its plantation and to establish an integrated saw log, veneer and chipping mill. The plantation company has a total of 24,099 hectares of land under a 50-year concession until 2049. MTP’s plantations are located across central Laos, in Khammoune, Bolikhamxai, Vientiane and Xengkuang provinces, and include eucalyptus and acacia. FMO said its funding of MTP is an additional investment, following its investment in the company in 2018, and fills a need for long-term capital, the lack of which it said is a barrier to finance for the forestry sector.
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VIETNAM

Number of new firms decline but total capital from new and existing firms increase in first nine months of 2020
(7 October 2020) Around 99,000 new enterprises were established in the first nine months of 2020, marking a 3.2% year-on-year decline, according to Vietnam’s General Statistics Office (GSO). The new firms registered to-invest total capital of more than US$60.6 billion (VND1.4 quadrillion), an increase of 10.7% compared to the same period in 2019. The average registered capital of each new business also increased to US$623,000 (VND14.4 billion), a year-on-year surge of 14.4%. On another note, around 29,500 operating enterprises registered to-increase capital by US$90.7 billion (VND2.1 quadrillion) in total for their business. As a result, Vietnam’s domestic economy received a total capital of more than US$155.4 billion (VND3.6 quadrillion) from newly established and existing businesses in 2020, equivalent to a 19.2% year-on-year increase.
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mekong-monitor-map

About Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS)

The Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Economic Programme was launched by the Asian Development Bank in 1992 connecting five developing ASEAN countries, namely Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam and Thailand, and Chinese provinces of Yunnan and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region. The region has some of the most robust economies sharing the Mekong River Basin thanks to its reform and liberalisation. The subregion is growing at a faster pace than the whole of East Asia and the Asia Pacific as the GDP growth rate for 2017 was at 6.4 percent, according to the World Bank. The population at the subregion as of 2016 is at 340 million while the GDP at PPP is at US$3.1 trillion in 2016. In 2015, trading within the region was at US$444 billion.

China-ASEAN Monitor: Indonesia and China to develop direct settlement between rupiah and yuan


Photo Credit: ID Photo

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

Indonesia, China to develop direct settlement between rupiah and yuan
(1 October 2020) China and Indonesia signed a memorandum of understanding on 1 October 2020 to develop and promote a framework of direct settlement between the rupiah and the yuan, to strengthen bilateral financial cooperation between both countries. Authorities believe this will strengthen the usage of both local currencies for the settlement of trade and investments. China is Indonesia’s largest trading partner, with more than US$73 billion worth of goods exchanged between the two countries annually. Chinese investors are also significantly involved in Indonesia, including in key infrastructure projects such as Jakarta-Bandung high-speed train project in West Java and the US$10 billion Weda Bay industrial complex in Sulawesi.
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Cambodian banana exports to China could exceed 300,000 tonnes in 2020
(5 October 2020) Cambodian banana exports to China could exceed 300,000 tonnes in 2020, a substantial increase from the 130,000 tonnes which were exported in 2019, according to industry insiders. Cambodian bananas were exported to China for the first time in May 2019 which not only diversified the fruit basket of Chinese consumers but also boosted Cambodia’s banana industry. As of 5 October 2020, the number of Cambodian banana plantations approved to export to China numbered 15 with a planting area of more than 24,000 hectares, and this is expected to expand. The autumn and winter are important consumption seasons for bananas within China, with the peak around the Spring Festival.
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Chinese tourists to arrive in Thailand under Special Tourist Visa (STV) scheme
(7 October 2020) The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) stated that both Chinese and Scandanavian tourists will be arriving in Thailand in October 2020 under the Special Tourist Visa (STV) scheme. Tourists from both countries that have complied with regulations will be arriving after the Thai government started easing regulations on 1 October. The Thai government has set quotas for tourist numbers at approximately 300 persons a week or about 1,200 per month. The TAT, however, does not want to rush the opening up of the country for foreign tourists but will follow strict disease control measures to prevent putting the country at risk of COVID-19 spreading. The arrivals of the first group of 150 Chinese tourists scheduled for 8 October could be postponed to allow officials to work on proper preparation and settle entry processes.
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China to enhance cooperation with Malaysia in vaccine development and resumption of production
(1 October 2020) China will work together with Malaysia to enhance collaboration on COVID-19 vaccine development and resumption of production, said China’s outgoing ambassador to Malaysia Bai Tian. He said Beijing and Kuala Lumpur will also continue the fight against the pandemic and subsequent economic recovery. According to Bai Tian, Xi Jinping had announced at the 73rd session of the World Health Assembly in May 2020 that China will make its COVID-19 vaccine a global public good, once available. The ambassador was speaking at an online reception on the occasion of the 71st Anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China.
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Digital Silk Road initiative to integrate technology into culture, tourism, and industrial cooperation
(2 October 2020) The 2020 Malaysia-China Year of Culture and Tourism – Digital Silk Road campaign was launched via cloud by the China Culture & Entertainment Industry Association (CCEA). The initiative will integrate digital technology into culture, tourism and industrial cooperation to shape a “digital culture industry” that can further facilitate exchange of culture, technology and business opportunities between China and Malaysia. CCEA president Liu Jinhua said the integration between culture and tourism, together with traditional industries, through digitalisation, is creating new business opportunities to take the economy to the next level. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, 16 typical business entities belonging to the digital culture industry recorded US$76.8 billion in annual revenues with a growth rate of 15.5%.
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CARI Captures 473: ASEAN manufacturing’s operating conditions deteriorate again in September



 

ASEAN

ASEAN manufacturing’s operating conditions deteriorate again in September
(1 October 2020) ASEAN’s headline manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) posted a modest deterioration to 48.3 in September 2020 after having stabilised at 49.0 in August. Firms continued cutting their staffing levels for the sixteenth month running, after seeing a slight easing of job shedding in August. The 12-month sentiment outlook, however, reached an eight-month high as companies had a more confident outlook of economic recovery. Among the seven ASEAN countries covered, Myanmar recorded the largest deterioration; its headline figure fell to a near-record low of 35.9 in September, marking a weakened performance of the sector amid stricter lockdown measures. Indonesia also saw a renewed contraction, following slightly improved conditions in August. Further contractions were recorded in Singapore (48.0) and Malaysia (49.0). Vietnam’s manufacturing sector saw the first improvement in operating conditions for three months during September. Its headline index (52.2) was the highest since July 2019 and signalled a modest improvement in conditions.

ASEAN

New ASEAN regional centre to address the future of work
(29 September 2020) Singapore launched the Regional Centre for the Future of Work on 29 September 2020. The new regional centre will help ASEAN member states prepare for the future of work and will be advised by ASEAN Secretary-General Dato Lim Jock Hoi and relevant international experts. Speaking after launching the centre, Minister for Manpower Josephine Teo said the initiative is especially timely during the COVID-19 pandemic. The idea for the new centre was first presented as a regional initiative to ASEAN leaders and International Labour Organization (ILO) representatives last year at the 2019 Singapore Conference on the Future of Work. The centre will advocate the adoption of technology for inclusive growth, workplace safety and health, and tripartite relations. The centre will also be organising more conferences over the next few years, in collaboration with the National Trades Union Congress and the Singapore National Employers Federation.

SINGAPORE

Singapore ranked second most digitally competitive economy in the world
(1 October 2020) Singapore was ranked second in the world in digital competitiveness in the latest edition of the IMD World Digital Competitiveness Ranking. The ranking measures the capacity of 63 nations to use digital technologies to drive economic transformation in business, government and wider society, and is currently in its fourth year. Singapore excelled in areas including knowledge, technology, and employee training, but continued to trail in future e-readiness due to a lower adaptability to technological change and a drop in business agility. Other ASEAN countries covered in the ranking included Malaysia (26th), Thailand (39th), Indonesia (56th) and the Philippines (57th). The US took the top spot, with Singapore, Denmark, Sweden and Hong Kong rounding up the top five spots.

MALAYSIA

World Bank revises Malaysia’s GDP contraction for 2020 to 4.9%
(29 September 2020) The World Bank has recently revised its 2020 economic growth forecast for Malaysia to 4.9%, from the previously estimated 3.1% decline. This was after the larger than expected contraction of 17.1% in the second quarter of 2020 due to the imposition of the movement control order (MCO), as well as weak external conditions. The revised projection reflected the heightened uncertainty over the speed of the global recovery from COVID-19, as well as the elevated unemployment rate and labour market weaknesses. Malaysia’s central bank projects that the country will experience a contraction of between 3.5% and 5.5% in 2020.

BRUNEI

Central bank to cease issuance of 10,000-Brunei-dollar currency notes
(1 October 2020) Brunei’s central bank, Autoriti Monetari Brunei Darussalam stated on 1 October 2020, that its issuance and circulation of the 10,000-Brunei-dollar currency notes will cease effective 2 November 2020. The 10,000 Brunei-dollar notes is the country’s biggest denomination currency. However, the bank stated that the notes will remain legal tender and retain full face value. The decision to stop the circulation of the notes was to reduce the risks of financial crimes such as money laundering and counterfeiting. The public was also encouraged to use alternative payment methods such as debit or credit cards for high-value transactions.

CAMBODIA

Cambodia wins rice battle in EU court
(29 September 2020) The European General Court has rejected the European Commission’s (EC) request to reject a complaint submitted by Cambodia and the Cambodian Rice Federation (CRF) regarding the EU’s reintroduction of tariffs on Indica rice exports from Cambodia. In April 2019, Cambodia and the CRF took the EC to court for the commission’s decision to reintroduce import duties for Indica rice from Cambodia for three years. The court said that temporarily reintroducing the Common Customs Tariff duties on imports of the product is tantamount to limiting the access of certain entities to the EU market, including that of Cambodia. It said the contested regulation caused significant economic damage for Cambodia. “It follows from all the foregoing that the plea of inadmissibility must be rejected,” the court said.

THAILAND

Household debt in Q2 2020 jumps to 83.8% of GDP as economy shrinks
(30 September 2020) Thailand’s household debt level to GDP jumped to 83.8% in the second quarter of 2020, the highest since 2003, data from the Bank of Thailand showed on 30 September, as the COVID-19 pandemic hammered the economy. The kingdom suffered its largest contraction in 22 years in the second quarter and may shrink to a record 7.8% in 2020, according to the central bank’s projections. As of June 2020, household debt increased to US$429.11 billion (13.59 trillion baht), from US$427.75 billion (13.50 trillion baht) at end-March, equal to a revised 80.2% of GDP, already among the highest in Asia. Bank of Thailand director Don Nakornthab said in a statement that the debt ratio was driven by an economic contraction, while the amount rose at a slower pace. Kasikornbank’s research centre projects that the debt to GDP ratio may surge to 88%-90% at the end of 2020.

THE PHILIPPINES

Philippines Airlines to cut more than a third of its workforce
(1 October 2020) Philippines Airlines started a major job-cutting programme on 1 October 2020 that could cut its workforce by more than a third, reflecting the deepening impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the resultant travel restrictions across Asia. The first phase of the programme will see the airline seeking voluntary resignations, after which compulsory resignations will be made. The move is expected to run through early December 2020, and staff were informed in early September 2020 that the airline was considering a 21% to 38% reduction of its workforce. Philippines Airlines is considering cutting around 35% of jobs across all departments. The airline and its budget affiliate employ around 7,800 workers. The airline’s listed parent, PAL Holdings, which is partly owned by Japan’s ANA Holdings, saw its revenue plunge 88.8% to US$97 million during the April-June quarter, which covered the most intense period of lockdown in the Philippines.

INDONESIA

Founders of PT Lion Mentari Airlines planning on starting new airline
(1 October 2020) The founders of Indonesia’s PT Lion Mentari Airlines are planning on starting a new airline in the country, as the airline seeks to move beyond a 2018 crash. The transport ministry has confirmed it is processing one application for an air operator certificate but did not confirm for which airline. Air travel in Indonesia in July 2020 measured at 1.46 million people, a significant decline from 7.14 million in the same month in 2019. If the new airline goes ahead, an independent aviation analyst argued it may allow Lion’s founders to grab a bigger share of Indonesia’s aviation market once air travel rebounds.

VIETNAM

Vietnam sets out to achieve 17 sustainable development goals by 2030
(29 September 2020) The Vietnamese government has set 17 sustainable development goals (SDGs) to achieve by 2030 in a recently-issued decree, Decree No 136/NQ-CP. The goals aim to reduce poverty and inclusivity and develop the country in a sustainable and responsible manner. The country will strive for a peaceful, democratic, just, equal, civilised society; build effective institutions with good accountability and promote global partnership towards sustainable development. The decree outlines tasks and solutions to realise the goals, with focus on completing institutions and policies, enhancing communications, promoting the role of and participation by relevant parties, mobilising and arranging financial resources, and intensifying international co-operation. Specific measures have also been assigned to ministries and sectors.

Mekong Monitor: Thailand and Myanmar resume cross-border goods transportation


Photo Credit: The Nation

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

THAILAND, MYANMAR

Thailand and Myanmar resume cross-border goods transportation
(30 September 2020) Myanmar has accepted a proposal from Thailand to resume cross-border goods transportation with the condition that the drivers would have to change at the border due to the risks of COVID-19. Transportation across the Second Thai-Myanmar Friendship Bridge resumed at 6:00am on 30 September 2020. On 28 September, Thailand had requested Myanmar to allow the resumption of cross-border trade due to trucks being stranded on the Thai side of the border, which were at risk of losing between US$2.5 million to US$3.2 million a day. The two countries also agreed to collaborate further in solving problems at the border.
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VIETNAM, UK

Vietnam backs the UK joining the CPTPP
(30 September 2020) UK Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab stated that Vietnam will support the UK’s accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) regional trade deal. Both Vietnam and the UK are also seeking their own bilateral trade deal as early as 2021, as the UK’s exit from the European Union after December 2020 will leave it out of the bilateral trade deal signed between the EU and Vietnam. In the meantime, Vietnam will apply the EU deal to the UK until a bilateral deal between both parties is ready. Vietnam’s main exports to the UK include mobile phones, seafood, garments and textiles, while the UK hopes to tap into Vietnam’s markets for education, renewable energy, technology, infrastructure, and health care.
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MYANMAR

Myanmar extends ban on foreign and domestic travel by another month to curb rising COVID-19 cases
(25 September 2020) Myanmar extended its ban on foreign visitors and domestic travel by another month in order to curb rising cases of COVID-19. The suspension, which was supposed to expire on 30 September 2020, will be extended until 31 October 2020. As of now, Myanmar has recorded up to 8,515 cases and 155 fatalities, and the Central Bank of Myanmar has responded by extending its minimum reserve requirement relaxations for banks to March 2021 to lessen the impact of COVID-19 on lenders. The country has set aside US$2.3 billion (3 trillion kyat) for efforts to contain the outbreak and minimise its impacts.
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CAMBODIA

Around 10 casinos reopen after lifting of closure order
(29 September 2020) Cambodia’s Ministry of Economy and Finance stated that at least 10 casinos in Cambodia have reopened since a closure order was lifted in early July 2020. The casinos are currently operating in a limited capacity and must ensure social distancing and cleanliness. Cambodia’s casinos were closed on 1 April 2020, following an order from Prime Minister Hun Sen, after which the order was lifted on 3 July pending official approvals from the Ministry of Health, which require operators to include a detailed list of COVID-19 prevention measures.
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THAILAND

Thailand plans to reopen country to tourists and investors in early 2021
(29 September 2020) Thai deputy prime minister Supattanapong Punmeechaow stated that Thailand is planning on reopening its economy to foreign tourists and investors in early 2021. The Thai government is looking at how to resume international flights and relax other quarantine rules, and said that it would be done on a bilateral basis with countries which are seen as having effectively handled the COVID-19 pandemic well, including Japan, Singapore, and Vietnam. Thailand plans to cut its quarantine period from 14 days to seven days to allow foreigners to go out and stimulate the economy sooner. The country is also planning on realigning its investment incentives to promote targeted industries more in line with a post-COVID-19 economy, including medical, biochemical, and wellness tourism.
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mekong-monitor-map

About Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS)

The Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Economic Programme was launched by the Asian Development Bank in 1992 connecting five developing ASEAN countries, namely Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam and Thailand, and Chinese provinces of Yunnan and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region. The region has some of the most robust economies sharing the Mekong River Basin thanks to its reform and liberalisation. The subregion is growing at a faster pace than the whole of East Asia and the Asia Pacific as the GDP growth rate for 2017 was at 6.4 percent, according to the World Bank. The population at the subregion as of 2016 is at 340 million while the GDP at PPP is at US$3.1 trillion in 2016. In 2015, trading within the region was at US$444 billion.

China-ASEAN Monitor: Thailand to restart tourism with China


Photo Credit: Travelobiz

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

Thailand to restart tourism with China
(29 September 2020) Thailand is expected to welcome its first foreign tourists when a flight from China arrives next week, marking the gradual restart of a vital tourism sector battered by COVID-19 travel restrictions, said a senior official on 29 September. Tourism Authority of Thailand governor Yuthasak Supasorn said the first flight will have about 120 tourists from Guangzhou, flying directly to the resort island of Phuket. Government spokeswoman Traisulee Traisoranakul expects 1,200 tourists in the first month, generating about US$31.6 million (1 billion baht) in revenue and US$1.6 billion over one year, drawing in 14,400 tourists. Nationalities permitted to enter will be from countries deemed low risk by the Thai government, which will keep tabs on them using wrist bands and apps. Visitors will need health insurance and a negative COVID-19 test result 72 hours before travelling and will be tested twice in quarantine.
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Indonesia among countries to first receive Chinese-made COVID-19 vaccine
(25 September 2020) Indonesia, along with Brazil and Turkey, where third-phase human trials of the Chinese-developed COVID-19 candidate are ongoing, will have access to the vaccine at the same time as China, according to a Russian news agency. Vaccine developer Sinovac began the third phase of clinical trials in Brazil on 21 July, Indonesia on 1 August and Turkey on 16 September, chief executive officer Yin Weidong told reporters in Beijing. He also said that the first lots of the vaccine will be distributed on a priority basis in China and in parallel to the countries with clinical trials. Sinovac expects the vaccine to hit markets by the end of 2020.
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Brunei-China joint petrochemical venture to expand into second phase
(25 September 2020) Brunei-China petrochemical joint venture Hengyi Industries Sdn Bhd has begun the expansion into the second phase construction of its oil refinery and petrochemical project at Pulau Muara Besar (PMB), an industrial park on an island at the Brunei Bay. Hengyi invested about US$3.5 billion in the first phase of its PMB oil refinery and petrochemical project, which went into full operation in November 2019 and equipped the company with 8 million tonnes of crude oil processing capacity annually. The company said on 16 September that it plans to invest about US$13.7 billion in the second phase expansion. The proposed second phase expansion is expected to last three years and add 14 million tonnes of crude oil processing capacity per year upon completion.
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Stricter quality requirements hit Vietnam fruit exports to China
(25 September 2020) Vietnam’s fruit exports to China are decreasing after China made quality and origin standards more stringent, insiders from both countries said at an online conference on 24 September. According to Vietnam Customs, the higher standards and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on border trade resulted in Vietnam’s fruits and vegetables exports to China falling by over 25% year-on-year in the first eight months of 2020 to US$1.3 billion. Vietnam Fruit and Vegetables Association said exporters need to have at least 10 hectares of orchards meeting VietGAP (Vietnamese good agricultural practices) standards to be able to export to China but many businesses operate on a small scale and have poor packaging practices.
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Trade at Chinese border city near Myanmar resumes
(22 September 2020) Border trade at Muse in Myanmar’s Shan state has resumed following the reopening of the customs office in Ruili, China, after the border town resumed business on 22 September. Border trade between Myanmar and China had been placed on hold after Ruili was placed under lockdown on 15 September after positive COVID-19 cases were detected in the city. Muse Rice Wholesale Center vice chair U Min Thein said since the reopening of the customs office, Myanmar has resumed exporting products such as rice, sugar, onions and other goods across the border. While travel outside Ruili is still restricted, goods for trade are permitted to pass through the border from both sides. Myanmar truck drivers, however, are still required to swap vehicles with Chinese drivers before the goods are allowed to pass into China
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CARI Captures 472: Indonesia and the Philippines among ASEAN countries facing significant ecological threats



 

ASEAN

Indonesia and the Philippines among ASEAN countries facing significant ecological threats
(22 September 2020) The Asia Pacific region, which includes Southeast Asian countries, fall among the medium risk group on the Ecological Threat Register 2020 (ETR). The study categorises countries into low exposure (0 -1 threat), medium exposure (2-3 threats) and high exposure (4 or more threats). Indonesia and the Philippines face 3 ecological threats each, followed by Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam which face 2 ecological threats each. Cambodia, Laos, Malaysia and Singapore each face 1 ecological threat, putting them in the low exposure grouping. The Asia-Pacific region was exposed to the highest number of natural disasters with 2,845 events recorded since 1990. Two-thirds of natural disasters in the region were either floods or storms, with the Philippines, Indonesia and Vietnam being among the most affected countries. Ecological threats and climate change pose serious challenges to global development and peacefulness and building resilience to ecological threats will increasingly become more important and will require substantial investment today.

ASEAN

Finance leaders approve increase of “condition free” access to cash swap fund
(21 September 2020) ASEAN+3 finance leaders at the 23rd ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors’ Meeting have approved to increase the “delinked portion” of the US$240 billion Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralisation (CMIM) cash swap fund from 30% to 40% of borrowing capacity. The meeting was held virtually on 18 September and was co-chaired by Vietnam and Japan. The increase means all 10 ASEAN countries, as well as, Japan, South Korea and China can now access up to 40% of their maximum borrowing amount from the facility without the need for any conditions on the funds provided. Implemented in 2010, the CMIM is a means of addressing balance of payments and short-term liquidity difficulties in the region during times of financial crises; it allows members to access a pool of US dollars in exchange for their own currencies.

MALAYSIA

Government announces US$2.4 billion additional stimulus
(23 September 2020) The Malaysian government announced that it would implement several initiatives and additional assistance under the US$2.4 billion (RM10 billion) Prihatin Supplementary Initiative Package (Kita Prihatin) in line with its efforts to boost economic recovery. Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin said the Kita Prihatin package targets four main groups, namely the bottom 40% income group (B40) who are married and single; M40 group with family and who are single; local workers in various fields and micro-traders in various fields. The package is an extension of previous economic stimulus packages, worth a total of US$70.8 billion (RM295 billion), or about 20% of the nation’s GDP, with an additional fiscal injection by the government totalling US$10.8 billion (RM45 billion). According to Muhyiddin, the latest figures from the Department of Statistics Malaysia revealed encouraging developments in economic indicators, such as the unemployment rate, manufacturing index and consumption index.

MALAYSIA

Malaysia records US$15.6 billion worth of investments in the first half of 2020
(24 September 2020) Malaysia recorded US$15.6 billion (RM64.8 billion) worth of investments in the first half of 2020 in the manufacturing, services, and primary sectors. The investments totalled 1,725 projects and would create 37,110 employment opportunities in Malaysia. Domestic direct investment accounted for 69.8% of total investments approved, while foreign direct investments made up the remaining number. The top five sources of foreign investments were Singapore, Switzerland, China, the US, and Thailand. The manufacturing sector accounted for the largest share of approved investments in the first half of 2020 at 55.1% of total investments, followed by the services sector at 44.2% and the primary sector at 0.7%. In the first half of 2020, the manufacturing sector’s approved investments totalled US$8.6 billion (RM35.7 billion), which was only a 3% decrease from the corresponding period in 2019.

CAMBODIA, INDONESIA

Cambodia and Indonesia agree on tax deal
(23 September 2020) Cambodia and Indonesia have reached an agreement on double tax avoidance (DTA), Cambodia’s General Department of Taxation (GDT) said on 22 September 2020. The DTA could take effect as early as 1 January 2020 if the remaining approval procedures are completed in 2020, said the GDT. The agreement is expected to protect nationals from both countries from double taxation. The Indonesian government recently notified the Cambodian government, as obliged by Article 29 of the DTA, that it had completed the internal procedures that are required for the entry into force. An official from the GDT told a local news outlet that the DTA will further shore up bilateral trade and investment between the two countries. Cambodia Chamber of Commerce said that apart from preventing double taxation, the DTA would also allow income tax to be paid wherever individuals or companies make a profit.

THE PHILIPPINES

Shell to sell its 45% stake in gas-to-power plant in Malampaya
(24 September 2020) Royal Dutch Shell is looking to sell its 45% stake in a gas-to-power plant in Malampaya, a key source of power for the Philippine’s main island of Luzon. Shell’s move is part of its larger portfolio rationalisation initiative to simplify and increase the resilience of its business. Malampaya’s natural gas was discovered by Shell in 1991 and fuels four power plants that deliver about a fifth of the Philippines’ electricity requirements. Shell’s divestment plan comes about a year after Chevron agreed to sell its 45% interest in the project to Philippine oil and shipping group Udenna Corp. State-owned Philippine National Oil Company holds the remaining 10% stake in the Malampaya project.

THE PHILIPPINES

Trade department confident of retaining GSP+ privileges
(23 September 2020) The Philippines is confident that it can retain tariff perks with the European Union (EU) after the European parliament voted in support of their removal. Trade Secretary Ramon M. Lopez said in an interview on 23 September that the Philippines is currently working on addressing the EU’s concerns by providing them with the right information. Last week, the European parliament asked the European Commission to begin the process of temporarily withdrawing the Generalized Scheme of Preferences Plus (GSP+) privileges enjoyed by the Philippines after the country failed to improve its human rights situation. The Management Association of the Philippines has asked the government to take the matter seriously, noting that the removal of tariff perks would hurt various industries and worsen unemployment.

INDONESIA

Reimposed restrictions expected to further hinder revival of domestic consumption
(23 September 2020) Jakarta’s recently reimposed restrictions is expected to further hinder the revival of domestic consumption in Indonesia. The hit to domestic consumption, which contributes about 60% of GDP, is expected to worsen an economy already projected to contract by between 0.6% to 1.7% in 2020. Consumer confidence among Indonesians who spend more than US$339 a month declined, according to a central bank survey carried out in August 2020. As of 11 September 2020, visits to retail and recreational spaces were still 10% lower than before the pandemic started, according to a mobility report by Google. According to Indonesian Retailers Association chairman Roy Mandey, retailers are already dipping into capital reserves to stay afloat. If the pressure on retailers continues, he believes it would just be a matter of time that modern retailers would stop operations, particularly those with smaller business scale.

SINGAPORE

Singapore implements measures as it moves to reopen the economy
(24 September 2020) Singapore will allow more people to return to office and will be trialling a new business travel pass for senior executives as the city-state moves to re-open its economy. The updated requirements will allow staff to return to the office for up to half their working time, with no more than half of the workplace’s employees at any point in time. The updated measures will take effect on 28 September 2020. The international business travel pass will be for executives with international responsibilities who need to travel regularly. Among the other aspects of the updated measures include allowing the resumption of work-related events within the workplace, allowing cinemas to expand their capacities from 1 October, and an adjustment of the legal cut-off age for children to wear masks.

THAILAND

China’s Great Wall Motors to start automobile production in Thailand in 2020
(24 September 2020) China’s leading automobile manufacturer Great Wall Motors (GWM) will start production in Thailand in 2021, with a capacity for 80,000 units a year. The company will start with the production of sports utility vehicles and pickup trucks. GWM Thailand has a registered capital of US$715.88 million and will employ 3,435 people. The company will also manufacture key parts including batteries and transmissions for its electric vehicles. Locally produced parts will form 45% of parts for its first model to be produced in Thailand, with the proportion to increase to 90% by 2025. The GWM Thailand operation will also establish a research and development hub for Southeast Asia.

Mekong Monitor: Thai central bank to keep benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5%


Photo Credit: Bloomberg

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

THAILAND

Thai central bank to keep benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5%
(23 September 2020) Thailand’s central bank is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5%, as the Thai economy grapples with the COVID-19 pandemic. The governor of the Bank of Thailand Veerathai Santiprabhob recently played down further rate cuts, and argued that fiscal policy can play a greater role in reviving the economy. He recently told a business news outlet that the bank has looked at unconventional policy moves like controlling yield curves but doesn’t think the measures are needed at the moment. While all options, including rate cuts, are available, targeted measures that provide funding to the sectors that need it the most can be more effective, he said. However, a senior economist at Krung Thai Bank in Bangkok stated that she believes Thailand will announce further “unconventional tools” such as quantitative easing, supply-side measures or debt restructuring. The Bank of Thailand projected in June that the Thai economy would contract by 8.1% in 2020.
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VIETNAM

Vietnam aviation authority submits detailed plans for flight schedules
(23 September 2020) The Civil Aviation Authority of Vietnam has submitted detailed plans for flight schedules and requirements for airlines to bring international passengers into the country. These requirements are currently awaiting approval from the Ministry of Transport and other relevant authorities. The country has decided to reopen bilateral travel between six Asian nations, including Cambodia, Japan, South Korea, China and Laos. Both national carriers Vietnam Airlines and budget airline Vietjet Air will conduct a total of nine flights a week landing in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City.
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VIETNAM

Government targets growth of 6.5% for 2021
(22 September 2020) Vietnam’s cabinet has targeted economic growth of 6.5% for 2021, which is similar to its growth level prior to COVID-19. The government expects the economy to rebound in 2021 from the economic slowdown it is currently experiencing due to the pandemic. In 2020, Vietnam’s economy is expected to grow at between 2.0% to 2.5%. The government has also asked the central bank to sustain a monetary policy that controls inflation and promotes economic stability while other ministries were directed to bring in more foreign capital, increase exports and stimulate domestic consumption.
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MYANMAR

Myanmar locks down most of Yangon province for two weeks to contain surge in COVID-19 infections
(21 September 2020) Myanmar locked down most of Yangon province for two weeks to contain a recent surge in COVID-19 infections. Under the new stay-at-home orders starting on 21 September, only one family member is allowed to go out for shopping while travel from Yangon to other cities is not allowed save for essential work. Essential services such as banking, healthcare, fuel stations and food outlets will still be allowed to operate as usual. While private sector employees were ordered to work from home, government employees will follow a rotational system. New daily cases jumped to 671 on 20 September 2020, a single day record.
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LAOS

Laos rating downgraded from B- to CCC, attributed to real default risk
(24 September 2020) Fitch Ratings has downgraded Laos’ rating from B- to CCC, citing “substantial credit risk” on the part of the country. The main reason for the downgrade was attributed to deepening external liquidity pressure as a result of COVID-19, alongside with Laos’ large volume of approaching debt maturities. Around US$500 million of the country’s external debts will mature by the end of 2020, with a further US$1.1 billion over the next four years. The country faces an imminent repayment of about US$200 million to commercial banks in September 2020, and then the equivalent of US$100 million in Thai baht-denominated bonds in October 2020. The ratings agency anticipates that “additional bilateral financing and debt relief could be forthcoming, including from China,” as other options may not be readily available for the landlocked country.
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mekong-monitor-map

About Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS)

The Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Economic Programme was launched by the Asian Development Bank in 1992 connecting five developing ASEAN countries, namely Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Vietnam and Thailand, and Chinese provinces of Yunnan and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region. The region has some of the most robust economies sharing the Mekong River Basin thanks to its reform and liberalisation. The subregion is growing at a faster pace than the whole of East Asia and the Asia Pacific as the GDP growth rate for 2017 was at 6.4 percent, according to the World Bank. The population at the subregion as of 2016 is at 340 million while the GDP at PPP is at US$3.1 trillion in 2016. In 2015, trading within the region was at US$444 billion.

CARI Briefings on Industry 4.0 and the Forces of Change in ASEAN ~ Swedish Industry Voices in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Published on 24 September 2020
Writer: Aznita Ahmad Pharmy, Research Fellow, CARI
Editors: Jukhee Hong, Executive Director, CARI and Eleen Ooi Yi Ling, Research Manager, CARI



CARI Viewpoint: Companies in ASEAN need to have a cultural shift to successfully embrace IR4.0

CIMB ASEAN Research Institute (CARI) organised “CARI Briefings: COVID-19 Economic Recovery Plan Series titled “How Can ASEAN Bounce Back: Industry 4.0 and the Forces of Change in ASEAN ~ Swedish Industry Voices in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic” on 15 September 2020 featuring voices from the Swedish organisation and firms in the region including Kacper Pierzynowski, co-author of “Southeast Asia’s Big Shift – Industry 4.0 and the Forces of Change in the ASEAN Bloc” report and Daniel Häggmark, Managing Director of Monitor ERP. The session was moderated by Tan Sri Dr. Munir Majid, Chairman of CARI, and the discussion centred on Swedish companies’ experience in utilising Industry 4.0 (IR4.0) during the COVID-19 pandemic and how ASEAN can adopt IR4.0 in a post-pandemic world.

During the briefing, among the key insights shared were:

1) COVID-19 accelerated the shift towards IR4.0


In the early days of the pandemic, the lockdowns and border restrictions had companies looking at supply chain resilience. According to Kacper, Swedish companies in the ASEAN region discussed main strategies to either simplify the supply chains or work towards the setting up of a back-up capacity to gain a higher degree of control over the supply chains to enable a quicker return to normal levels post-disruption.

During his presentation, Kacper remarked that while many people viewed the COVID-19 as a black swan that would force businesses to utilise IR4.0 technologies, he did not share that view. He opines that COVID-19 is basically further accelerating the move towards IR4.0 which is driven by existing underlying factors such as increasing cost levels in China, rising protectionism, trade tensions and shifting demands.

According to Business Sweden report, “Southeast Asia’s Big Shift – Industry 4.0 and the Forces of Change in the ASEAN Bloc,” four out of five of the 300 manufacturers surveyed in six ASEAN countries have already budgeted investments for IR4.0 in the coming three years. The trending technologies that manufacturers are investing in are smart machines and robots, smart energy systems, big data, virtual modelling, e-learning, additive manufacturing, and augmented reality.

In view of the COVID-19 situation at the moment, Kacper observed that companies are emphasising on solutions that would allow them to work remotely such as cloud and e-commerce. He said local manufactures should also be more open towards collaborating with technology providers.

2) To move towards IR4.0, companies need to assess their capacity and start small


Kacper said the pandemic proved to be a stress test for companies’ technological maturity. “How quickly do companies react to the disruption and how quickly can they respond?” he ventured.

For companies wanting to adopt IR4.0 technologies, Kacper said they would need to consider the following:

  • Evaluate capabilities – the company should look into its capacity and capabilities in order to react to the correct changes to the supply chain. The company should also look at how dependent it is on its suppliers and network and whether it should look into integration or redundancy.
  • Capacity for resilience – what is the company’s capacity to build resilience and manage disruption? Do they have the right tools to perform scenario analysis?
  • Availability of the right tools – does the company have the right tools in place to capture opportunities in a changing environment? It should look at its responsiveness level and how it can leverage digital tools to expand service offerings.

Moving towards IR4.0 in a time of economic slowdown caused by COVID-19 would no doubt prove challenging for small and medium enterprises. Kacper said companies wanting to make the transition “do not need to jump in the deep water at once.”

“You can gradually develop, starting small, within the areas that are critical for you to cover at the first move. Nowadays, technology providers are thinking in those dimensions, providing something that is easily swallowed at the first start,” he said.

In his sharing session, Daniel concurred and said that for SMEs, the adoption of IR4.0 can be done in small, simple ways from the beginning. His company, Monitor ERP, supplies ERP systems for manufacturing companies and thus has a good understanding of manufacturing SMEs in the region. Daniel said that for companies to start small, they can start with simple things that can help them to always deliver their products on time.

One of the issues he has observed is that many SMEs want to go from “zero to hero overnight.” The important thing is for companies to implement solutions that help the organisation grow and stay competitive, he said.

3) Product-as-a-service concept under IR4.0 could potentially open up new opportunities

One of the impacts from the adoption of next generation technologies is how it could propagate value added services in the manufacturing industry, Kacper said.

“Product-as-a-service business model allows customers to purchase the desired result rather than the product that delivers the result,” he said. According to him, data from Sweden shows services currently making up 50% of employment in the manufacturing sector, a significant increase from 39% in 2008. Revenue from services in the manufacturing sector in Sweden has also grown to the range of 25%-30% in the past years from 10% during the late 1990s.

“It’s becoming increasingly profitable to think around more value add services that we are offering together with the product. Digital platforms and sensors coupled together with the monitoring analytical tools and technologies such as artificial intelligence allow the manufacturing industry to offer increasingly high value services,” he commented.

Companies such as ABB, Volvo and Atlas Copco are typical examples of Swedish companies that have equipped their machines with sensors to transmit data on how their products are being used, and these data that can be then be used for internally driven prevention maintenance and decision fleet management, he added.

According to Kacper, digital twinning also has enormous potential for the high-tech industry. Connectivity with sensors enables companies to identify the essential parts of a product, digitally react and accept images. Digital twinning allows products to remain “evergreen” as the products can be continuously updated or refined online.

Selling a product as a service is more complicated than just selling the product but it can lead to higher profit, commented Kacper. Companies that move towards the product-as-a-service concept, i.e., servitisation stand to benefit from it.

4) Businesses need to be inclusive and design a flatter organisational structure to gain employee buy-in to embrace IR4.0

The awareness among businesses of IR4.0 and its acceleration is being driven mainly by the younger generation of managers.

“There is a clear shift, on one hand, you might say that the shift is being driven by the fact that the younger generation is stepping into managerial positions and have certain influence and impact on the decision-making process,” said Kacper.

Daniel remarked that procuring technology is one thing but how to implement it is another matter. “I’m not so worried about the technical part, but more on the softer part, like how do you drive change in an organisation?”

Organisations would need to think about how to get their people’s buy-in and how to get everyone to work together. From this standpoint, he believes that the Swedish business culture offers some guidance.

“Swedish leadership is very consensus-based, we like to make group decisions or at least always involve everyone in decisions, and there is no hierarchy basically. It is a reflection of the culture of Swedish companies which always focuses on the future and change,” he said.

Daniel also brought up Hofstede’s cultural dimensions which indicates Sweden as one of the countries with the lowest power distance scores in the world. This is reflected in its comparatively flatter social and business organisational structure.

He noted that changing a company’s business culture is no simple task but there are many small areas in which the company can try to adopt. He has observed that many SMEs in Malaysia have a very top-down organisational structure where it would be difficult to bring about change and fewer opportunities for all employees to get their opinions heard.

When asked on crucial investment areas a company should make to adopt IR4.0, Daniel ranked people, software and hardware in terms of importance, while Kacper said the proper foundation would have to be in place first.

“I think if you don’t have the proper software in place where people can communicate efficiently and share information on the same route, it doesn’t really matter how much automation you put in. It doesn’t matter if your machine can run 30 seconds faster in a cycle if you don’t have enough raw material to run the production,” he said.

5) Beyond COVID-19, sustainability must be a core business value

The experience from the COVID-19 pandemic has emphasised the need for businesses to prepare for the challenges ahead.

“While physical infrastructure and education was key to Sweden’s development as an industrial nation in the first half of the century, digital literacy and infrastructure combined with making sustainability a core business value are the challenges of the 21st century,” said His Excellency Dag Juhlin-Dannfelt, Ambassador of Sweden in Malaysia during his special remarks

“To remain competitive and relevant as manufacturers and service providers, the challenges such as connectivity, sustainability and digitalisation must be managed,” he said.

According to him, European Union members have taken the initiative to bring economies back on track by focusing on sustainable growth, integrating the need for a green transition and to necessitate digital transformation. With ASEAN projected to become the 4th largest economy in the world by 2030, he said the substantial growth potential should transition to a more connected, digitalised and sustainable economy.

“As Malaysia and ASEAN prepare to relaunch their economies, the challenges of upgrading economic activities to the realities of the new normal, the fourth industrial revolution, and the need for business activities to be environmentally and socially sustainable will be key for success; it is of paramount importance,” he commented.

6) Conclusion


IR4.0 remains crucial to businesses despite COVID-19

Industry 4.0 is a necessary step forward for manufacturers in ASEAN, particularly since manufacturing is a major contributor to the region’s GDP. Whilst companies are busy responding to COVID-19, Tan Sri Munir said that it is also necessary to anticipate and to implement the particular technologies that would drive the fourth industrial revolution in Malaysia and in ASEAN. The COVID-19 pandemic has made it more challenging for companies to adopt IR4.0 but it can be done on a smaller scale and at a gradual pace, depending on the companies priorities.


The human element and business culture must not be forgotten when adopting IR4.0

Technology is a main component of IR4.0 but as has been discussed during the webinar, the human element is an equally important ingredient. Successful adoption of IR4.0 requires buy-in from everyone in the organisation that would allow them to understand and accept the changes, and be able to work together with the new technology. Business culture plays a prominent role whereby a less hierarchical organisational structure often found in Swedish companies would make it easier in obtaining employee buy-in.

Taking note that Malaysia has a more hierarchical, almost feudal system in place, Tan Sri Munir said though it may take a long time, Malaysians need to be less hierarchical in their way of thinking in order to move forward. “There’s a lot to be done on the education and personal level in Malaysia, which is always a great challenge,” he said.


Sustainability is a key component in the post-pandemic era

In preparing for future shocks, companies need to look ahead to stay prepared. As mentioned by H.E. Ambassador Dag, Swedish businesses have made sustainability a core business value. To stay relevant and competitive, businesses in ASEAN need to manage the challenges of connectivity, digitalisation and sustainability.




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China-ASEAN Monitor: Indonesia halts seafood exports to China after COVID-19 tests


Photo Credit: AFP

 

TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT

 

Indonesia halts seafood exports to China after COVID-19 tests
(20 September 2020) Indonesia has suspended exports into China from an Indonesian seafood company PT Putri Indah after its frozen fish products tested positive for COVID-19, according to a statement by the country’s fisheries ministry on 19 September 2020. An investigation is reportedly ongoing and the suspension only applies to the company. According to the ministry, the virus was detected on the outermost side of the package, not on the fish and the seven-day suspension began on 18 September. China’s General Administration of Customs said on 18 September that it would stop accepting import applications from PT Putri Indah for one week after a batch of frozen hairtail fish from the company tested positive for COVID-19. China’s customs had earlier said on 11 September that it would halt imports from companies for a week if their frozen products tested positive for COVID-19 for a first or second time.
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First China bond ETF in Singapore to launch amid strong foreign interest in yuan assets
(17 September 2020) The largest exchange-traded fund (ETF) to invest purely in Chinese government bonds is expected to list in Singapore this week, CSOP Asset Management said on 17 September 2020. The first China bond ETF in Singapore will launch with an initial US$676 million derived from both institutional and retail investors, according to a briefing by CSOP and Singapore Exchange. Trading is expected to have begun on 21 September. The launch comes as foreign investors stream into China’s onshore yuan bonds and as it steps up efforts to deregulate its capital markets and promote the global use of the yuan. Chinese government bonds pay a premium over US government debt of more than 200 basis points at the ten-year tenor and are becoming increasingly popular with investors as it recorded a 21st consecutive month of inflows in August.
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Last major tunnel along China-Laos railway drilled through
(22 September 2020) The Ban Phoukeu Tunnel which is the last major long tunnel of nearly 9,000 meters along the China-Laos Railway has been drilled through on 22 September according to a Chinese railway engineering company involved with the construction. The drilling of the last tunnel marked an important milestone in the construction of the cross-border railway, and laid a solid foundation for the timely completion of the mega project. With a length of 8,936 meters, the Ban Phoukeu Tunnel is among the 10 major tunnels longer than 5 km along the China-Laos Railway. The China-Laos Railway is a strategic docking project between China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Laos’ strategy to convert from a landlocked country to a land-linked hub. The 422-km railway will run from Boten border gate in northern Laos, bordering China, to Vientiane with an operating speed of 160 km per hour.
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Residents of Chinese border city near Myanmar test negative after imported COVID-19 cases
(21 September 2020) Residents at a Chinese border city have all tested negative for COVID-19 following two imported cases from neighbouring Myanmar, and the city-wide home quarantine would be lifted, the provincial government said on 21 September. Last week, the transit point of Ruili in southwestern Yunnan province conducted tests for tens of thousands of residents. The Yunnan government said in a statement that apart from the two imported cases, no local cases or local transmissions of the virus were detected. Movement restrictions such as home quarantine for residents were due to be lifted on 21 September at 10:00 pm but venues such as cinemas, bars and internet cafes are expected to remain closed. Yunnan’s rugged 4,000-km (2,485-mile) border with Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam makes it tough for authorities to step up surveillance and cut illegal immigration into China.
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Huawei initiates programme in Brunei to develop local digital talents
(21 September 2020) Huawei Technologies began its “Seeds for the Future 2020” programme in Brunei on 22 September with the aim of developing local information and communications technology (ICT) talents in the kingdom. The programme was first launched in 2008 to develop local skills and bridge communications between both countries. Brunei’s deputy minister of education Romaizah said the ministry is taking a holistic approach towards building a comprehensive ecosystem for digital learning. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the programme is being held virtually this year. According to Huawei Technologies in Brunei CEO Zhang Jianwei, participants of the programme will learn about Huawei’s 5G, cloud computing, internet of things, artificial intelligence as well as other digital solutions.
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