Weaker than expected improvement in Indonesia’s 1Q19 current account deficit

15 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 balance of payments The 1Q19 current account deficit (CAD) improved to US$7.0bn/2.6% of GDP, the smallest since 2Q18, though it fell short of our expectation. We raise our CAD forecast to US$29.6bn/2.7%

Indonesia’s 1Q19 GDP growth of 5.1% slightly disappoints

10 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 GDP growth 1Q19 real GDP growth came in slightly below expectation at 5.1% yoy on slowing investment activity and the drag from inventory contribution. We raise our 2019 GDP growth forecast by

Malaysia cuts OPR rate to 3.00% against expectations

9 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS May Monetary Policy Committee – Overnight Policy Rate cut by 25bp OPR cut by 25bp to 3.00% against our expectations of a hold in May. Tightening domestic financial conditions and concerns over downside

Mekong Monitor

9 May, 2019

Photo credit: The Nation   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   THAILAND-CLMV EXIM Thailand to continue supporting Thai SME expansion to CLMV markets (3 May 2019) Export-Import Bank of Thailand (EXIM Thailand) president Pisit Serewiwattana

China-ASEAN Monitor

8 May, 2019

Photo credit: Reuters   Economy, Investment and Trade   Cambodian rice exports to China rise following EU tariffs (6 May 2019) Cambodian rice exports to China increased by 45.6% in the month of February

Malaysia: March 2019 trade

7 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS March 2019 trade Trade performance in Mar exceeded expectations as milder-than-expected declines in exports and imports lifted the trade surplus to RM14.4bn. A US-China trade deal, recovery in regional manufacturing activity, and stronger

Indonesia: 1Q19 direct investment realisation

6 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 direct investment realisation Total realised investments fell 2.8% yoy to US$13.4bn in 1Q19 as the gains in the tertiary sector were insufficient to offset declines in other sectors. We expect investments to

Mekong Monitor

2 May, 2019

Photo credit: AFP   TRADE, ECONOMY, AND INVESTMENT   CAMBODIA, MYANMAR Myanmar State Councillor visits Cambodia to boost bilateral ties (1 May 2019) Myanmar State Councillor Aung San Suu Kyi arrived in Cambodia on

China-ASEAN Monitor

30 April, 2019

Photo credit: Xinhua   Economy, Investment and Trade   Cambodia, China ink nine agreements during the Belt and Road Forum (28 April 2019) Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen and his delegation signed nine agreements