Indonesia’s 1Q19 GDP growth of 5.1% slightly disappoints

10 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 GDP growth 1Q19 real GDP growth came in slightly below expectation at 5.1% yoy on slowing investment activity and the drag from inventory contribution. We raise our 2019 GDP growth forecast by

Malaysia cuts OPR rate to 3.00% against expectations

9 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS May Monetary Policy Committee – Overnight Policy Rate cut by 25bp OPR cut by 25bp to 3.00% against our expectations of a hold in May. Tightening domestic financial conditions and concerns over downside

Malaysia: March 2019 trade

7 May, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS March 2019 trade Trade performance in Mar exceeded expectations as milder-than-expected declines in exports and imports lifted the trade surplus to RM14.4bn. A US-China trade deal, recovery in regional manufacturing activity, and stronger

Indonesia: 1Q19 direct investment realisation

6 May, 2019
By Lim Yee Ping, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics and Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic

HIGHLIGHTS 1Q19 direct investment realisation Total realised investments fell 2.8% yoy to US$13.4bn in 1Q19 as the gains in the tertiary sector were insufficient to offset declines in other sectors. We expect investments to

Singapore: March 2019 industrial production

29 April, 2019
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics

HIGHLIGHTS March 2019 industrial production The IPI contracted by 4.8% yoy in March due to declines in all clusters except for biomed, transport engineering and general manufacturing. External headwinds and benign core inflation risks

Singapore: MAS monetary policy review

16 April, 2019
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics

HIGHLIGHTS MAS monetary policy review MAS kept its monetary policy stance unchanged today as real GDP growth eased to 1.3% yoy in 1Q19 amid accelerating headwinds in manufacturing MAS expects 2019F GDP growth slightly

Malaysia: February 2019 industrial production

12 April, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS February 2019 industrial production IPI growth undershot expectations at 1.7% yoy in February While slower growth in manufacturing growth tallied with our expectations, the 5% contraction in mining output threw our forecasts off

Vietnam: 1Q19 GDP – resilient growth

8 April, 2019

HIGHLIGHTS Inflation to tick-up but stay manageable Vietnam registered a trade deficit of US$768m in February due to negative growth of 3.3% in exports. An upswing in domestic manufacturing compensated for the setback in

Thailand: Macro snapshot

2 April, 2019
By Michelle Chia, Economist, CIMB Research and Economic and Sofea Azahar, Economist, CIMB Research and Economics

HIGHLIGHTS Macro snapshot Thailand’s trade balance came in healthier at a surplus of US$3.5bn in February as a result of a sharp contraction in imports Better-than-expected election results for pro-junta coalition raises likelihood of